‘Gold Is the Way to Go’ as Interest Rates Drop, Says Mark Mobius
Veteran investor Mark Mobius, founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners, remains bullish on gold as the world’s central banks continue to cut interest rates amid fears of an economic downturn.
“Physical gold is the way to go, in my view, because of the incredible increase in money supply,” said Mobius. “All the central banks are trying to get interest rates down. They are pumping money into the system. Then you have all of the cryptocurrencies coming in, so nobody really knows how much currency is out there.”
Gold traded higher on September 9, rising 0.1% after falling by almost 1% in the previous session. Mobius says he expects gold to continue to gain even though it climbed to a record high of $1,520 last week - especially since the Trump administration does not want a strong dollar. Mobius predicts that the government will try to weaken the dollar against other currencies, which will in turn push the price of gold even higher.
“They are certainly going to try to weaken the dollar against other currencies and of course, it’s a race to the bottom,” he said. “People are going to finally realize that you got to have gold, because all the currencies will be losing value. As soon as they do that, other currencies will also weaken.”
If the dollar gets weaker, Mobius suggests that investors should hold 10% of their portfolios in physical gold, investing the rest in dividend-yielding equities. In times of market volatility, gold is traditionally a safe investment that can hold its own much better than national currencies.
“At the end of the day, gold is a means of exchange. It’s a stable currency in some way,” said Mobius.
Data from the World Gold Council supports this claim, as numbers indicate a rising demand for the precious metal amid global economic uncertainty. The world’s central banks bought 374 metric tons of gold in the first six months of 2019, which is the largest net increase for the first half of a year since 2000.
“Deep down inside, the central bankers do believe in gold, but they don’t want to say it because they won’t be able to create new currency,” said Mobius.
The three leading central banks in buying gold have been Poland, Russia, and China, as Beijing recently lifted restrictions on imports of gold.
“China is the biggest producer of gold to begin with. And then of course, they’ve been buying gold, so nobody really knows how much they have in the vaults,” said Mobius. “I’m sure it’s been increasing at a pretty good pace.”
This pattern of massive gold acquisition continues a trend that began last year, as central banks bought more gold in 2018 than at any time since the end of the American gold standard in 1971.
I have always thought of myself as a writer, but I began my career as a data operator with a large fintech firm. This position proved invaluable for learning how banks and other financial institutions operate. Daily correspondence with banking experts gave me insight into the systems and policies that power the economy. When I got the chance to translate my experience into words, I gladly joined the smart, enthusiastic Fortunly team.
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